Maley Market Strategy Podcast

The "set up" for the bond market and the stock market are very different as we head into the Fed's December meeting.  Why discuss why we believe this divergence will end very soon...and while it will have profound implications for both asset classes......We also touch on several specific stocks which we believe will outperform in the months ahead.

In this week's edition, we discuss why one key asset class should outperform all others...over BOTH the near-term AND the longer-term...and who the winners and losers will be from these moves.  We also review the recent results from the Black Friday sales and highlight which stocks should benefit from today's consumer trends.  Finally, we talk about which stocks should do well if the market sees a Santa Claus rally.

In this week's episode, we discuss how some subtle, BUT IMPORTANT, changes have taken place in the AI narrative, in the Fed's stance, and in the credit markets...which raise questions about whether the recent bounce in the stock market will have legs.  We also highlight the stocks and groups which will likely outperform over the rest of this year. 

In this week's podcast, we talk about how something very important HAS changed with both the AI trade and with the Fed.  This is taking place at a time when the stock indices and the Treasury bond prices are testing critical support levels.....Therefore, the action in the market over the next week or to is going to be critical for how the markets act over the rest of the year.

The end of the government shutdown is positive, but since it didn't hurt the market, it won't help it for long now that it's over.  Instead, the action in the tech stocks will continue to be KEY...and it has not been very smooth lately.  Therefore, we're still worried about a near-term pullback in the markets.  Finally, we highlight two stocks that are getting ripe for a breakout.

In this week's podcast, we discuss why no matter where the market is going over the intermediate and long-term, it's ripe for a near-term pullback...led by the chip stocks.  (We also discuss why our short-term negative calls on Palantir and AMD have worked so well.)....We also highlight how the credit markets are creating problems....and the outlook for the precious metals and Bitcoin.

In this week's edition, we describe why the stock market is at a critical juncture and why this week's Fed meeting and (especially) the earnings from "big tech" hold the keys.....Despite the general narrative on Wall Street, earnings growth estimates have not increased much at all.  So, we need good news from the tech sector...and more accomodation from the Fed...to keep the rally going near-term.

After seeing Beyond Meat rally 1,400% at one point this week, there is little question that the is an extreme level of speculation in the stock market.  When you combine this action with the incredibly stretched valuations based on the promise of big earnings at some point in the future...and we're definitely looking at a bubble. 
However, they keep inflating for a very long time.  So, in this week's edition, we discuss what we'll be looking for to signal a top...and cover which stocks/groups should outperform in the mean time.  

In this week's edition, we discuss why the tariff situation with China is not going away.  China has not had to give in much at all......Also, the upcoming earnings season is going to be critical.  Earnings have not been the big driver that many on Wall Street are trying to say it is.  Multiple expansion has been the key...and that is not sustainable.

The stock market is definitely in a bubble, but this does not mean that it cannot move higher before it bursts.  We talk about where to play things aggressively now...while keeping some defensive plays.